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Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

data as of 2026-04-03 05:34 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.2K+$3.1K$27
Holders40−242
Trades196−97293
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
+6.9 pp
36.5%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−8.3 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−29.72×
×30.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−29.82×
×30.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$42
−$53
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.7%
+104.4 pp
-96.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.4%
−12.2 pp
17.5%
Bot %5.4%
−18.7 pp
24.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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