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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on March 28?

data as of 2026-03-26 11:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$272−$11K$11K
Holders64−2286
Trades556+68488
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.4%
−46.7 pp
76.2%
Avg ROI7.6%
+7.5 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.99
+2.05×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.27
+2.33×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$4
+$437
−$441
Recent buyer dominance0.35
+0.34
0.01
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.3%
−76.2 pp
6.9%
Underwater %94.1%
+94.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.7%
+13.6 pp
12.1%
Bot %26.3%
+14.2 pp
12.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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