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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-19 11:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$11K$26K
Holders308+42266
Trades3.4K+2443.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−12.1 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI-7.8%
−7.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.86
+18.24×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.76
+18.14×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.8K
−$5.9K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.10
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.4%
−154.1 pp
59.7%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.0%
−7.7 pp
74.6%
Bot %66.2%
−7.5 pp
73.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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