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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 22:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$66K$73K
Holders387−37424
Trades4.3K−984.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−27.6 pp
68.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.5 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.91
+6.06×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.58
+7.75×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$26.0K
$32.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.1%
−105.4 pp
18.2%
Underwater %91.8%
+85.6 pp
6.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.2%
−5.4 pp
76.6%
Bot %74.2%
−1.0 pp
75.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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