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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 02:04 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$20K$6.2K
Holders350−101451
Trades3.3K−6824.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.0%
+4.5 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI3.4%
−5.8 pp
9.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−8.04×
×8.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−8.71×
×9.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.0K
+$16.6K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.0%
+114.6 pp
-91.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.1 pp
93.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.4%
+18.4 pp
43.1%
Bot %70.7%
+20.6 pp
50.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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