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XRP Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 16:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$142−$138$280
Holders15−318
Trades81−37118
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
−0.7 pp
55.4%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.9 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.92
+1.27×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.02
+1.37×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$88
+$18
$70
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.13
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.4%
−97.8 pp
47.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+94.3 pp
5.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.6%
+21.8 pp
49.8%
Bot %73.0%
+11.4 pp
61.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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