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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 02:12 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$70K+$66K$3.9K
Holders479+72407
Trades3.3K+5822.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.0%
+12.8 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−6.45×
×7.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−5.05×
×5.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.0K
+$15.5K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.00
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.2%
+110.9 pp
-86.6%
Underwater %0.5%
−96.5 pp
97.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.1%
+9.1 pp
62.0%
Bot %72.3%
+9.8 pp
62.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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