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Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 18:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.2K−$1.1K$2.3K
Holders70+1258
Trades602+101501
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−3.8 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI-2.4%
+3.0 pp
-5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.54
+33.88×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.89
+32.21×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$746
−$756
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−144.5 pp
47.7%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.8%
+0.6 pp
77.2%
Bot %75.5%
−1.9 pp
77.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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