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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 12:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$18K$25K
Holders295+5290
Trades2.0K+92.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
−1.5 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI1.1%
+0.4 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.69
+6.90×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.57
+6.80×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$17.5K
$24.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.2%
−116.3 pp
30.1%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.4%
−0.4 pp
37.7%
Bot %57.8%
−5.4 pp
63.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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