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Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?

data as of 2026-06-26 21:25 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
50¢
NO
50¢
YES
50¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$27$27
Holders0−22
Trades1−12
NO
50¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−63.9 pp
63.9%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.00
−1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.00
−1.36×
×1.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$10
−$20
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+26.5 pp
-26.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−50.0 pp
50.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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