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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-19 20:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$15K$29K
Holders408−142550
Trades4.4K−2774.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−11.0 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI1.3%
−1.1 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.00
+39.41×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.07
+35.46×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.1K
−$7.6K
$19.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.04
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−155.2 pp
57.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.5 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.7%
+4.7 pp
60.0%
Bot %69.4%
+2.6 pp
66.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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