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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 16:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$47K+$8.4K$38K
Holders382−93475
Trades5.5K−135.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+5.7 pp
46.6%
Avg ROI0.1%
−1.0 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−25.04×
×25.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.47
−24.69×
×25.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
−$2.1K
$17.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.14
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL103.0%
+198.8 pp
-95.8%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.6 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.6%
+11.5 pp
70.1%
Bot %81.3%
+11.3 pp
70.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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