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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-19 13:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$7.3K$31K
Holders240−23263
Trades5.1K−2815.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+13.5 pp
41.0%
Avg ROI-3.9%
−8.6 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−38.58×
×39.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−39.73×
×40.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
+$4.7K
$13.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.05
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL82.8%
+180.3 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %2.7%
−94.2 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
−2.0 pp
78.7%
Bot %77.8%
−3.0 pp
80.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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