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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 20:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$397$14K
Holders341+12329
Trades2.1K+1292.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−3.2 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI10.8%
+10.2 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×48.91
+48.43×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.27
+40.76×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.4K
+$670
$12.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−204.4 pp
106.7%
Underwater %90.7%
+90.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.7%
+0.1 pp
40.6%
Bot %66.9%
−5.2 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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