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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 22:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K−$2.4K$5.8K
Holders126+19107
Trades878+80798
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−2.6 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.4 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.71
+17.06×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.05
+17.38×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$486
−$2.3K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−147.1 pp
52.5%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.3%
−1.8 pp
49.1%
Bot %52.5%
−5.4 pp
57.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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