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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 20:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$5.9K$14K
Holders581+199382
Trades4.1K−2954.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−6.1 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI10.9%
+8.2 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×71.65
+71.41×
×0.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×62.93
+62.61×
×0.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.7K
+$14.4K
$4.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.29
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−318.3 pp
220.0%
Underwater %94.8%
+94.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.8%
−6.7 pp
60.5%
Bot %62.9%
+10.9 pp
52.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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