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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-17 17:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$14K$7.9K
Holders176−57233
Trades2.0K+821.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+7.8 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI-1.1%
+2.3 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−12.78×
×13.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−14.19×
×14.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$5.2K
$583
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.07
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL42.9%
+136.2 pp
-93.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.3%
+0.5 pp
64.8%
Bot %67.8%
+8.8 pp
59.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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