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Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

data as of 2025-01-03 17:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$45K$47K
Holders120−91211
Trades1.6K+4991.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+1.5 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI3.0%
+0.6 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.91
+4.93×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.13
+4.15×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$376
$379
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.1%
−79.9 pp
1.8%
Underwater %91.9%
+89.1 pp
2.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.5%
−39.9 pp
50.3%
Bot %10.2%
−40.2 pp
50.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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