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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?

data as of 2026-04-21 04:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23−$1.1K$1.1K
Holders23+716
Trades60+1842
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate25.5%
−72.2 pp
97.7%
Avg ROI6.0%
+4.8 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.79
+0.79×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$79
$82
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.3%
−44.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %94.1%
+94.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.3%
+35.3 pp
0.0%
Bot %35.3%
+35.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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