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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-04-14 00:51 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K−$30K$34K
Holders91−65156
Trades1.4K+1291.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+3.0 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI0.7%
−3.4 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.57
+20.87×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.74
+22.05×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$613
−$2.1K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−140.1 pp
44.3%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.1%
+30.7 pp
41.4%
Bot %72.2%
+30.7 pp
41.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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