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Will Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?

data as of 2025-11-20 08:33 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$35K+$32K$2.6K
Holders43−1962
Trades547−116663
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.6%
+12.1 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI6.6%
−13.1 pp
19.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.37
−49.63×
×50.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−48.27×
×48.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$42
+$42
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.54
+0.02
0.52
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL84.5%
+182.6 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %16.9%
−83.1 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.4%
−7.0 pp
10.4%
Bot %3.4%
−7.0 pp
10.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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