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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 07:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$5.0K$8.2K
Holders55−358
Trades846−116962
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−1.9 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−3.4 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.39
+7.66×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.61
+7.88×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$144
−$633
$776
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.21
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.4%
−126.5 pp
38.1%
Underwater %92.6%
+92.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.0%
+2.5 pp
65.6%
Bot %78.6%
+4.8 pp
73.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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