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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 16:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K−$4.1K$44K
Holders435−27462
Trades6.5K−2546.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+1.8 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−0.3 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−51.07×
×51.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−53.42×
×53.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28.9K
−$13.9K
$42.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL150.8%
+249.0 pp
-98.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.4 pp
98.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.7%
+0.9 pp
84.8%
Bot %85.5%
+1.0 pp
84.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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