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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 22:01 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.4K+$2.7K$4.8K
Holders147−105252
Trades1.0K+162874
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.8%
−22.7 pp
68.4%
Avg ROI7.3%
+1.7 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.08
−70.29×
×70.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.25
−57.38×
×57.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$513
+$504
$9
Recent buyer dominance0.66
+0.01
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL346.4%
+444.7 pp
-98.3%
Underwater %4.6%
−94.5 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.4%
+30.3 pp
16.1%
Bot %45.1%
+30.1 pp
15.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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