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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 17?

data as of 2026-02-17 01:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$98−$10K$11K
Holders43−1356
Trades217+24193
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate24.2%
−63.5 pp
87.7%
Avg ROI66.7%
+66.9 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.41
+12.42×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$2.8K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−93.5 pp
1.0%
Underwater %59.8%
+59.4 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.9%
+25.4 pp
23.6%
Bot %48.9%
+25.4 pp
23.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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