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Will Trump say "Halloween" during Henderson, Nevada rally on Oct 31?

data as of 2024-10-31 17:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.2K−$3.9K$7.1K
Holders37−1047
Trades303−15318
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−18.9 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−5.9 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.29×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.61
+1.87×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$71
+$80
−$9
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.63
0.37
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.7%
−115.7 pp
53.0%
Underwater %98.7%
+79.9 pp
18.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.1%
+0.7 pp
2.4%
Bot %2.6%
+0.2 pp
2.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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