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Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-03?

data as of 2026-04-03 17:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$8.6K$9.8K
Holders85+1669
Trades275−35310
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.3%
−20.9 pp
65.2%
Avg ROI1.3%
−3.4 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.78
+2.87×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.52
+3.63×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$220
−$2.0K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.5%
−91.4 pp
12.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.9%
+13.2 pp
59.7%
Bot %72.5%
+12.9 pp
59.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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