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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 16:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K−$5.7K$34K
Holders415+10405
Trades5.5K−445.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−3.1 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI-5.1%
−2.8 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.41
+21.91×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.05
+21.56×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.6K
+$2.6K
$25.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−197.3 pp
101.8%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.9%
−1.9 pp
84.8%
Bot %82.5%
−1.9 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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