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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 00:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$15K$12K
Holders356−85441
Trades4.7K−3715.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.3%
+16.2 pp
42.1%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−27.79×
×28.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−21.28×
×21.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.4K
+$10.7K
$11.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.07
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.1%
+141.7 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−88.1 pp
88.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.2%
+18.5 pp
56.8%
Bot %77.2%
+19.1 pp
58.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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