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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 00:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$70K+$67K$3.5K
Holders67−2794
Trades780−6531.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.6%
+8.1 pp
56.6%
Avg ROI1.2%
+0.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−3.61×
×4.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−7.51×
×8.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$216
+$80
$136
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.36
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.5%
+112.3 pp
-89.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.6%
−27.7 pp
76.4%
Bot %48.6%
−28.4 pp
77.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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