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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 11:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K+$1.0K$1.3K
Holders48048
Trades379−179558
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.0%
+7.9 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI14.7%
+6.9 pp
7.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.91
+1.09×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.87
+1.13×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$755
−$307
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.07
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-47.4%
−78.8 pp
31.4%
Underwater %99.2%
+84.8 pp
14.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.8%
+4.1 pp
46.8%
Bot %49.9%
+1.3 pp
48.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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