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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-03 10:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$211−$1.7K$1.9K
Holders20+137
Trades67+2344
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.4%
−23.3 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI4.1%
+5.1 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.89
+2.83×
×1.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.93
+5.90×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$109
−$2.6K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.6%
−82.8 pp
-2.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+26.3 pp
73.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.3%
+42.4 pp
16.8%
Bot %59.3%
+42.4 pp
16.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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