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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 17 at 4PM ET?

data as of 2025-09-17 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$770−$72$842
Holders3+21
Trades32+293
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.9%
+28.9 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.9 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−0.41×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−0.44×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$15
−$845
$830
Recent buyer dominance0.05
−0.95
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.0%
+79.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.1%
−61.9 pp
100.0%
Bot %38.1%
−61.9 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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