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Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

data as of 2025-07-31 20:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.0K−$52K$55K
Holders55−2378
Trades1.0K+115918
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.5%
−3.4 pp
65.0%
Avg ROI1.6%
−5.2 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.09
+12.20×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.17
+11.27×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$596
$600
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.07
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.5%
−103.9 pp
12.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.8%
+5.4 pp
13.5%
Bot %18.7%
+5.3 pp
13.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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