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Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?

data as of 2026-06-03 00:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$230−$12K$12K
Holders54−256
Trades715+401314
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.6%
−23.5 pp
60.1%
Avg ROI4.1%
+4.8 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.04
+5.07×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.27
+4.30×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$261
$264
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.5%
−84.3 pp
3.7%
Underwater %93.4%
+91.6 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.1%
−30.4 pp
43.5%
Bot %15.5%
−30.7 pp
46.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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