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Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

data as of 2026-06-01 04:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21K−$9.0K$30K
Holders279+146133
Trades5.3K+3.2K2.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.8%
−34.2 pp
76.0%
Avg ROI6.3%
+3.1 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×404.25
+403.72×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×300.00
+299.45×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$75
−$4.9K
$5.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.60
−0.33
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.7%
−184.6 pp
84.9%
Underwater %96.5%
+96.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.8%
−10.2 pp
33.9%
Bot %24.2%
−20.9 pp
45.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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