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Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $130,000 on October 11?

data as of 2025-10-10 23:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$516−$60K$61K
Holders16−2036
Trades106−558664
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.2%
−52.2 pp
78.4%
Avg ROI4.2%
+4.8 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.47
+15.49×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$621
$621
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−95.5 pp
1.5%
Underwater %95.1%
+94.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.5%
−4.6 pp
28.1%
Bot %22.7%
−5.3 pp
27.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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