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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 05:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$11K$13K
Holders402+12390
Trades2.8K−1843.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
+0.6 pp
49.2%
Avg ROI1.4%
+1.1 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×32.68
+32.34×
×0.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.23
+31.85×
×0.38
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.9K
+$11.0K
$11.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.07
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−258.6 pp
161.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.9%
+0.4 pp
37.4%
Bot %59.5%
−0.9 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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