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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

data as of 2026-05-23 18:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K−$17K$23K
Holders365+12353
Trades3.0K+322.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−7.2 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI2.8%
+0.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.25
+15.56×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.41
+12.71×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$11.1K
$17.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−133.7 pp
40.7%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.1%
+2.4 pp
48.7%
Bot %69.1%
+1.7 pp
67.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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