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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 3?

data as of 2026-04-03 07:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$104−$2.9K$3.1K
Holders57+849
Trades354+168186
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−41.7 pp
81.8%
Avg ROI-4.1%
−7.0 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.27
+1.31×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.52
+1.59×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$143
$146
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.6%
−73.8 pp
7.2%
Underwater %82.1%
+78.8 pp
3.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.3%
+20.3 pp
20.9%
Bot %41.3%
+23.0 pp
18.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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