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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 18?

data as of 2026-04-17 15:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$99−$4.8K$4.9K
Holders77+374
Trades520+98422
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−40.2 pp
86.5%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−3.4 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.37
+3.39×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.14
+3.16×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$50
$50
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.0%
−79.1 pp
2.1%
Underwater %90.9%
+86.9 pp
3.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.7%
+3.8 pp
1.8%
Bot %5.7%
+3.8 pp
1.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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