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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 12:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$13K$3.2K
Holders297−40337
Trades1.5K−3271.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+5.9 pp
45.9%
Avg ROI0.4%
−1.1 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−7.92×
×8.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−8.39×
×9.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.6K
+$10.7K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.0%
+113.8 pp
-89.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.8 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.4%
+8.9 pp
28.5%
Bot %48.7%
+11.4 pp
37.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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