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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9?

data as of 2026-01-07 16:20 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$74K+$74K$17
Holders74+4925
Trades137−535672
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
+7.1 pp
44.9%
Avg ROI0.9%
−92.8 pp
93.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.76×
×1.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−0.27×
×1.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$278
+$296
−$18
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.82
0.01
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.3%
+11.0 pp
-9.7%
Underwater %0.8%
−65.0 pp
65.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.4%
+16.5 pp
21.9%
Bot %38.4%
+16.5 pp
21.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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