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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 19:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$37K$55K
Holders429−101530
Trades6.3K−8697.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−17.0 pp
62.6%
Avg ROI4.8%
−2.9 pp
7.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.74
+36.18×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.58
+30.99×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.9K
−$17.7K
$34.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.00
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−166.5 pp
69.7%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.1%
−4.4 pp
61.5%
Bot %53.6%
−25.3 pp
78.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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