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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-25 01:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$12K$31K
Holders302+26276
Trades4.7K+4484.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−5.3 pp
57.4%
Avg ROI-2.3%
−1.6 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.70
+4.08×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.72
+4.11×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.8K
−$2.9K
$13.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.7%
−139.5 pp
60.8%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
−0.2 pp
81.2%
Bot %81.2%
−0.1 pp
81.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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