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Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

data as of 2026-06-26 03:23 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
19¢
NO
81¢
YES
19¢
YesY-NNo
Position$607−$1.5K$2.1K
Holders45+639
Trades197+80117
NO
81¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−11.0 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.0 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−0.07×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.05×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$14
$18
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.4%
+3.8 pp
-0.4%
Underwater %28.9%
−36.0 pp
65.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.1%
−5.3 pp
20.3%
Bot %18.5%
−19.9 pp
38.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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