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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 16:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$18K$29K
Holders352−50402
Trades2.9K+3962.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−3.3 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI5.8%
+5.6 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.30
+8.57×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.35
+8.63×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.6K
−$17.3K
$27.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.1%
−128.1 pp
39.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.8%
+1.3 pp
40.5%
Bot %67.4%
+7.1 pp
60.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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