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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

data as of 2025-12-04 14:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$5.0K$13K
Holders148+32116
Trades2.1K+2301.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−19.6 pp
62.1%
Avg ROI12.5%
+12.0 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.00
+17.34×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.80
+20.12×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$3.2K
$5.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.11
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−141.3 pp
45.7%
Underwater %96.9%
+96.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.2%
−32.1 pp
72.4%
Bot %36.6%
−31.9 pp
68.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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