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Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?

data as of 2025-09-05 12:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21K+$2.3K$18K
Holders123+6162
Trades830−3521.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.4%
−11.5 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI4.3%
+7.4 pp
-3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−0.18×
×1.12
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−0.22×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$155
+$28
$126
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.09
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.3%
+24.5 pp
-9.3%
Underwater %1.3%
−77.6 pp
78.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−29.2 pp
77.9%
Bot %48.5%
−29.4 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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