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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 16:37 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.7K−$13K$19K
Holders94+589
Trades910+44866
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−9.7 pp
57.0%
Avg ROI-3.8%
−1.2 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.64
+30.00×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.13
+29.49×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$92
−$841
$933
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.26
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−154.4 pp
57.7%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
+5.7 pp
48.7%
Bot %54.4%
+5.7 pp
48.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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